So, it turns out there's at least one major upside to George W. Bush's fiscal recklessness: Reuters reports that his successor -- having just suffered a $1.4 trillion deficit and spent the mammoth sum of $6.7 billion in Afghanistan in merely one summer month (June) -- sees prodigiously unattractive "budget implications," as the NY Times put it in a "Well, duh" moment, for any U.S. troop escalation.
Every which way the White House Office of Management and Budget cuts it, for every added troop we send to that war-torn sinkhole we also send along about a million taxpayer bucks, says OMB.
There's the soldier's pay, of course, but far more than that, there's everything that soldier will need while he or she is there: tanks, Humvees, planes, helicopters, replacement equipment, intelligence services to help stay alive, a place to dwell and modern roads to travel on. That sort of stuff.
The aggregate math, then, is fairly easy: send about 40,000 troops and we spend about $40 billion. That is, another $40 billion, each year -- or another $3.3 billion on top of June's $6.7 billion.
Maybe a little more -- in fact, maybe billions more -- but no less (although the Pentagon, rather predictably, disputes that). Indeed, the OMB's variable of $1 million per soldier is, the Times continues, roughly a "constant" -- which is to say, send fewer than 40,000 troops if you like, but each soldier will still consume $1 million a year; each will still need housing, passable roads, watchful intel, fuel-delivery costs of $400 a gallon (no kidding), and so on.
All that has the OMB eyeing a military budget that "could rise to as much as $734 billion, or 10 percent more than the peak of $667 billion under the Bush administration." On the other, intolerable hand, the Obama administration says it plans "to cut up to 5 percent at domestic agencies in fiscal 2011 as part of an effort to reduce the federal budget deficit."
You see the problem. And if the neocons don't, the boys at the White House political office do.
As do increasingly uneasy Democratic pols on Capitol Hill. David Obey, the House appropriations committee chairman, has complained that more troops will only suck the public treasury dry and "devour virtually any other priorities that the president or anyone in Congress had." And House defense-appropriations subcommittee chairman John Murtha said to the Times last week: "A month ago, I would have said 60 to 70" Democratic votes against a funding bill for troop escalation; but now, given the costs and renewed worries over Afghanistan's corruption, probably a majority of the 258 are against.
Hence, added Murtha, passage of a funding bill "depends on the Republicans."
Naturally, the GOP would be delighted to help.
Sounding like a domino-theory-obsessed Cold Warrior, and omitting that there are more Qaeda associates in Western Europe than there would be in Afghanistan, Republican Sen. Christopher Bond said that "If we have just a minimalist counterterrorism strategy, the Taliban will come back over the mountains from Pakistan, and they will be followed by their co-conspirators from the Al Qaeda organization."
So let's just pile in the doughboys -- George Bush and Chris Bond's deficit be damned; except, of course, in terms of domestic priorities. We had best watch our Ps and Qs there, because we sure wouldn't want to be fiscally reckless, now, would we.
But the Obama administration and this Democratic Congress could finally turn the fiscal tables on both the neoconservatives and their government-bathtub-drowning Norquistian allies. For the latter may finally have forced us to realize that we can't afford both guns and butter -- not indefinitely, which is an adverb that precisely describes any commitment in Afghanistan.
As a responsible player in a multipolar world, we can't withdraw to 1930s isolationism and shouldn't attempt some paleoconservative stab at a "Fortress America." Engagement -- whether in trade, international development, or collective security -- is an inescapable modern reality.
What we're lacking, however, and what we have lacked for decades, is a reenergized emphasis on nation-building at home -- which, fiscally speaking, would require a retreat from costly, hard-power, international encumbrances.
Perhaps, in the long run, George W. Bush's ultimate fiscal and foreign recklessness will have taught us just that.





Buzz this on Buzzflash.net
Stop paying for wars of choice!
We are finding out that going into wars of choice can bankrupt the country. This is what the USSR found out after years of fighting in Afghanistan during the 1980s.
We have a choice here. Continue the wars and watch our economy decline under the load of unnecessary debt accumulation or pull the troops out and put the money into growing our economy.
The only way the USA should continue operations in Afghanistan is with the support of our allies, both financial and human. They have as much interest as we do in reducing the terrorist threat. We must get out of Iraq NOW!
Does the White House REALLY understand this?
I have heard it said that the US spends more on "defense" than all the other nations of the world combined--and if that is no longer true, it's damn close. But to the neocons and republicans even this isn't enough. A larger conglomoration of cowards and bedwetters the world has never known. These people quiver at spectres. Their own shadows cause an involuntary case of fight-or-flight.
The US defense budget is nothing less than an outrage. And if the democrats under Obama aren't going to make that case, it will likely never be made (by a major party). The irony is that the defense budget itself is imperiling our national security by being THE PRIME REASON our debt is exploding--not Medicare, not Medicaid, not Social Security.
War.
If Obama is the president I hoped he would be, he will begin making this case. He will quote Ike and begin laying the foundation for a defense spending freeze--and it will have to come in the face of the biggest hissy fit by neocons and the corporate media ever seen in this universe. So he'll need big balls.
Does he have them?
The problem is--and you can bet the White House boys know this, too--is that if the dems were to successfully cut defense spending and we get hit with another terrorist attack on the mainland, the gig is up. The is no way the dems could (or would) rhetorically keep the repugs from blaming them. And I think it would stick.
Think the sorry neocon bastards aren't praying for this very scenario as a way back to power?
That's why it will take huge balls to reduce or freeze defense spending. Confidence. Leadership. Political saavy. It can be done.
But will it?
Carp, you sound like a New-Dealer today. I must say I like the sound of it.