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The Gaza conflict is but another chapter of Bush's legacy

THE FIFTH COLUMNIST by P.M. Carpenter

If ever there were a propitious time to have those five escapist letters -- e-l-e-c-t -- attached postpositively to his new title, this is it.

The president-elect is "closely monitoring the situation in Gaza," his national security spokeswoman again insisted over the weekend. There is, however, only "one president at a time, and we intend to respect that" -- as well as cling to it.

Yet Barack Obama's luxury of respectful distance expires in 15 days. Then he'll be forced to confront a welter of planetary disintegration, of which "the situation in Gaza" is but one -- the inevitable result of eight sustained years of Bushian fecklessness and neglect.

In perhaps one of the most disingenuous statements ever released by this White House -- and that's saying a lot -- the Bush administration claimed to be "working toward a new cease-fire," the old one of which began withering in November and was dead by December. Yet in laboring for a cease-fire the administration asked that no firing be ceased; it merely asked Israel to "be mindful of the potential consequences to civilians."

In a further insult to virtually everyone's intelligence, Mr. Bush said Saturday afternoon that his team of unrivaled jingoists was "leading diplomatic efforts to achieve a meaningful cease-fire that is fully respected" -- efforts that began in earnest on Saturday night by thwarting the U.N. Security Council's call for a cease-fire.

Good grief, are there really still 15 days left? That's, like, more than two weeks, right? Couldn't we just call all that inaugural fuss a quaint formality and get on with some adult supervision?

With our hellish fortnight nevertheless remaining, whether anyone likes it or not, and very, very few do, the NY Times' Frank Rich reminded us yesterday as to the origins of some of Gaza's present misery:

"Three years ago after the Palestinian elections, [Bush] championed … his 'freedom agenda' [which] led to a landslide victory for Hamas."

"'There is something healthy about a system that does that,' Bush observed at the time, as he congratulated Palestinian voters for rejecting 'the old guard.'"

The only thing that muffled the audible gasps of incredulity at the time was an already well-pronounced weariness of the Bush administration's knack for getting pretty much everything wrong.

Still, outside of President Bush and his enduring fecklessness, it is tricky at best, and nigh impossible at worst, to assign unilateral blame for the present crisis in Gaza. For this is one of those irrepressible conflicts in which both sides are profoundly wrong, while each is profoundly in the right.

Looking at it from a parental point of view, which often can put a comprehensible human face on unspeakably inhuman events, Obama in the past has defended Israel's efforts to, quite simply, protect itself. If he had children sleeping under a grim blanket of incoming rocket fire, he said, the decision to remove both the threat and reality would be an easy one.

What could be simpler. Or, more complicated. Because Palestinian parents are justifiably thinking the very same thing.

It now appears, Bushlike, that Israel's principal war aim is regime change. Last week its foreign minister said "There is no doubt that as long as Hamas controls Gaza, it is a problem for Israel, a problem for the Palestinians and a problem for the entire region"; and even more forebodingly, Israel's vice premier said Friday that "What I think we need to do is to reach a situation in which we do not allow Hamas to govern."

Yet "while it may sound decisive," as the NY Times put it in Obama- or Bush-Speak, to talk of "taking Hamas out of power, almost no one familiar with Gaza and Palestinian politics considers it realistic. Hamas legislators won a democratic majority in elections four years ago, and the group has 15,000 to 20,000 men under arms."

All of which guarantees a durable irresolution, permanent violence and perhaps an endless Israeli occupation. Unless, that is, real adults soon engage in real regional diplomacy, which has been as dead as Bush's brain for eight long years.

Welcome, Mr. Obama, to some major-league cleanup tasks.

 

Please respond to P.M.'s commentary by leaving comments below and sharing them with the BuzzFlash community. For personal questions or comments you can contact him at fifthcolumnistmail@gmail.com

THE FIFTH COLUMNIST by P.M. Carpenter


Safety, and middle class

With the Kassams firing, Israel is still far safer than the US. The difference in auto death rates greatly exceeds Israel's loss due to homicide, and even with Palestinian counterattacks, homicide rates (per capita) are lower than the US. This fact is totally ignored in almost all commentary, and of course the few "journalists" willing to due a bit of research on the subject never seem to get this into the MSM. This is one of many areas in which Obama is an ignoramus, or just plain lying. Also, Israel has a middle class, and may never have had a government as non-violent as Hamas. This is not to say Hamas is non-violent, it is that Israel is much more violent.

Root cause ignored - a middle class would reject Hamas

I trust that President Obama will re-engage in Middle East diplomacy after years of unconscionable U.S. negligence and hope he will adopt a strategy that places a high priority on changing the living conditions that breed extremism in Gaza and elsewhere. Yes, the Israelis needed to respond - probably not so heavyhandedly - to the deadly Hamas missile attacks. They always need to, again and again, and that's my point. What's that popular definition of insanity? We should never have arrived at this point. The refusal for decades to provide a legitimate economic stake for young Palestinians is more at the root of this than Hamas or its enablers. To have hope, a vision of a good future and a sense of dignity, one needs safety, shelter, food, potable water, medicine, education for children and a chance to work. Isn't the deprivation of the Palestinians what enabled Hamas's success in the first place? If Palestinians had been given a chance to make a living, aided by the U.S. and by their Israeli neighbors, I doubt that Hamas would have gained a foothold. Contented middle-class people with developed institutions like schools, businesses and police forces don't let cut-throat Hamas-types take over. If Arafat had shared the wealth, if President Abbas and Prime Minister Qurei before him had been helped to produce jobs to show that a peaceful road brings economic dividends, Fatah would likely be running Gaza now. Instead, Abbas and Qurei were hung out to dry by both the Americans and Israelis. Polls have shown that most Israelis and Palestinians are willing to coexist peacefully. If the Israelis had also exerted control over illegal settlements and settlers, we might be close to the establishment of the Nation of Palestine today.

Israel

If there were justice in this world the state of Israel would be located in Bavaria.