How so easily distracted is the electorate.
Remember when virtually every American man, woman and schoolchild knew with transcendent certainty that this presidential election would be fought and won over all things economic, since we as a nation just happen to be staring into the economic abyss?
Remember that time? It wasn't that long ago, really, but it already seems like some real ancient history stuff. Because, once again, like quadrennial clockwork, the Republicans have yelled "Boo!"
Symbolically speaking, that is. "Let me be very clear: I am not questioning his patriotism. I am questioning his judgment."
With sound-bite perfection, that of course is what John McCain has been telling his audiences of late. No, no, nothing sinister, scurrilous or underhanded here at all; just one presidential candidate suggesting in every which way but the most nakedly blunt that his opponent hates America -- that his opponent prefers the "defeat" of American armed forces to victory, that his opponent "would rather lose a war than an election," that his opponent "doesn't think it matters whether America wins or loses."
And throughout the upcoming Republican National Convention you can be sure, as they bellow their recently chosen theme of "Country First" with brutal frequency, that nary a Republican soul on stage will question Barack Obama's patriotism.
All of which has reached a point that merely a few weeks ago was considered unreachable: "new polls suggest … [an erosion of] some of Obama's support, while McCain has begun to solidify a once-wary Republican base behind his candidacy."
Just what singularity was it that caused this unexpected erosion? You got it. A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll "showed that 35 percent of voters said they had concerns about Obama’s patriotism. Only nine percent said they were worried about McCain’s."
Another survey, "conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, found that 74 percent of respondents saw McCain as patriotic, compared to just 56 percent who said the same of Obama." (My favorite finding in this last poll: "a word of caution to both presidential candidates: 76 percent of those surveyed said politicians often 'invoke patriotism in a cheap and empty way.'" Someone forgot to add, "and highly effective.")
At any rate, throughout this week, at least, Barack Obama has been pounding McCain on the original economic narrative -- you remember, the one that was to be electorally determinative -- but to little notice or effect. It seems that toy had already been tarnished by age -- that it's not nearly as seductive as the flashy baubles, bangles and rhetorical beads of ripping into a newcomer's patriotic essence.
But wait. Whammo! McCain, in a senior moment of grotesque ignorance born of elitist detachment, almost unbelievably allows that he knows not his number of homes. Now, it may be that his forgetfulness is of more legitimate worry than his otherworldly opulence, but that's not the point. The point is, we suddenly have before us a new bauble to toy with.
And, presto! Obama will soon be back on top. The pundits will pronounce a new narrative -- the game has changed, the worm has turned, in a few thoughtless words McCain undid all he had done, Obama's old/new message is now the common man's most common denominator.
No doubt, that's precisely what daily tracking polls will soon show. Care to bet?
Then, next week, there's the simple physical fact of a few thousand devout Democrats gathering at the Democratic National Convention. Ah, those Democrats love us, and we love them. Obama's numbers will soar even more.
Afterward, devout Republicans will convene. It will be clear they love us, and we'll love them. Obama's numbers will promptly dip.
And, unquestionably, at some point in all this mix, Obama, too, will say something of off-the-cuff stupidity, launching yet another game-changer and worm-turner. And so it will go, from now through early November -- up and down, gotchas galore, moments of meaningless but monumental eruptions, and all the while the neglected fundamentals will not have changed one iota.
This, "my friends," is democracy -- a bouncing ball of irrelevancies, a yo-yoing electorate of infantile fascinations. Every four years we pronounce with grave solemnity that this election, this time, by God, will be held "on the issues" -- grievous matters of jobs, health care, budgets, education, the environment, fiscal and foreign policy -- and every four years the major candidates are reduced to rolling brightly colored balls of distraction across the playroom floor.
Why? Because grievous matters don't appeal to children, and, even if some pols don't know how many homes they own, they at least know that much.





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It doesn't matter, PM.
Of course, when the issue of disaffected Dem primary voters comes up, you advise us to ignore it. As you've so sagely counseled, "Let them be .... ", they're "fewer and fewer by the day, indeed".
Problem is, in reality the latest data shows 21 percent of Clinton supporters are backing McCain, with an additional 27 percent undecided or wanting to vote for someone else.
"Fewer and fewer", PM? What's 48% of @ 18 million? (You can just round off - I know your expertise is in political science, not mathematics). Wow! ........... that many!?!?!?!
Did you say political "science"?
Are you sure it's not creative writing?
MCCAIN'S MAKE'S BUSH LOOK ALMOST 'PRESIDENTIAL'!
Winning is THE American Value
Seriously ...
... do you think that a democracy of our anachronistic type can still work in current America?
I don't.
Good Article, PM
One does hope people will a have 'smart moment' in the polling booth by not voting for McCain, but by and large I feel you are correct. People are manipulated by those in, as Robert Frank calls it and Krugman uses in today's column, "Upper Richistan", who really don't care whether those 'down below' live or die.
(In fact, a few more of those down below need to. With health care as expensive as it is today, the patriotic thing for Boomers to do is die sooner.
Especially those responsible for all this civil rights nonsense.)
And those down below continue to vote for them and die. It's amazing.
PM, Obama SHOULD GO against McCain's presumed "STRENGTH" !
"Obama - FOR A STRONGER AMERICA"
- Point out that for the past dozen years, Bush-Cheney-McCain Republicans have SABOTAGED AMERICA's ENERGY INDEPENDENCE... the trio actually WANT Americans to ship BILLIONS upon TRILLIONS of US consumer dollars overseas, so that the greedy American oil companies can skim their 10-, 20-, 30-, or 40% profits off the top.
Here's the money-quote from Wiki: CHEVRON executives SUED Toyota and Panasonic for $30 million to STOP PRODUCTION of Toyota's 2002 RAV4-EV all-electric vehicle, a small SUV that is nearly identical with its gas powered sibling. That is, a 2002 PRODUCTION TOYOTA small SUV, that is kept OFF the road, by oil company sabotage:
"Whether or not Toyota wanted to continue production [of its 2002 ALL ELECTRIC RAV4-EV small SUV highway-capable vehicle], it was unlikely to be able to do so, because the EV-95 battery was no longer available. CHEVRON had inherited control of the worldwide patent rights for the NiMH EV-95 battery when it merged with Texaco, which had purchased them from General Motors. Chevron's unit won a $30,000,000 settlement [LAWSUIT!] from Toyota and Panasonic, and the production line for the large NiMH batteries was closed down and dismantled. Only smaller NiMH batteries, incapable of powering an electric vehicle or plugging in, are currently allowed by Chevron-Texaco."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toyota_RAV4_EV
- point out that Republican DEFICIT ECONOMICS forces AMERICAN TAXPAYERS to ship BILLIONS of dollars overseas to FOREIGN DICTATORS, merely as INTEREST PAYMENTS on the US deficits.
http://www.scribd.com/doc/3015540/US-Budget-Deficit-or-Surplus-1960present
This argument, ALONE, should win the election!
Obama's team needs to do what the cowering, clueless Democrats in DC can't seem to do: #1. find out the ANNUAL US budget deficits; #2. find out the TOTAL AGGREGATE US government deficits over the past 8 years; and #3. divide that number by the number of taxpaying Americans (and/or total population) to arrive at the BUSH DEFICIT PER VOTER costs for every working American!
And remind Americans - THIS IS MONEY BEING SHIPPED TO FOREIGN DICTATORS in China, Saudia Arabia, etc!
Dicussing the Cheney-Bush-NeoCon warmongering, and how it makes America MORE vulnerable to economic or energy disruptions, is of course another huge story, one that the Obama team must tip-toe around so as to avoid giving the Neo-Cons a target to shout "He is on the side of the enemy!", but the first two points: that Republican politics are undermining America's economic (industrail production), financial (interest rates and deficits), and energy strength (much less financial moral and social well-being of "We the people in order to form A MORE PERFECT UNION") should be a slam-dunk for the Democratic Party, were its leadership not so infested with K. St. and War-Lobby war-mongers.
And never fail to use the words "John McCain SUPPORTS George Bush's DEFICITS and tax-cuts for wealthy in time of war"!
On polling
The most thoughtful Americans are probably less frequentky polled, either because they refuse to participate in so shallow an exercise, or by their circumstances can not be reached.
What we are presented with as valid results of our public opinion most likely is skewed to showing that of the least aware and involved ......... and hopefully they are also less prone to vote.