Look at it this way: West Virginia's combined Democratic vote last night -- in a primary -- was roughly 25,000 more than what John Kerry generated there in the general election of 2004.
Sounds impressive, doesn't it? Now, does it mean anything? I haven't a clue. Nor does any other political scribe this morning, but it's the sort of analytical entree they'll have you feasting on throughout the day, most commonly served with side dishes of utmost certainty.
You may take it, or leave it, as you wish. At this early stage of the game it makes little difference. The same goes for all the other exit-polled statistics that exploded onto the screen last night and this morning have made their way onto the printed page.
Some were just plain bizarre. Such as those that "showed mistrust about Mr. Obama," which, as the New York Times added to its reporting, is "a relatively rare finding in Democratic primaries." To be a trifle more specific, "More than half said Mr. Obama was not honest and trustworthy," but we all know how and by whom that statistical outlier was cultivated.
Of course, 63 percent of West Virginia primary voters also thought the gas-tax holiday scam was a boffo idea, so some indigenous opinions may have come more naturally expressed than intelligent endotherms would like to think.
Others statistics, if true, were downright chilling. Such as the one reported by the Washington Post: that "only a narrow majority of Democratic primary voters said they would support Obama in the general election if he were to get the party's nod."
But again, one can take that or leave it at this early stage of the general campaign season. Because the political variables that went into the primary results were so enthusiastically warped and twisted by the heat of the Democratic contest, they rendered definitive -- or anything close to reliable -- conclusions for the future impossible.
Yet the most chilling statistic, which, because of its shame factor, probably is true? "Two in 10 white West Virginia voters said race was an important factor in their votes." That would be the two in 10 who were willing to admit that the particular hue of a candidate's skin is a key and valid determinant in their electoral behavior.
Among this atavistic 20 percent "more than 8 in 10" said they "backed Mrs. Clinton." Now there's a Democratic primary-victory stat to be proud of -- hail the hardworking, toothless hayseed vote, otherwise known as the GOP base, which is likely why so many said they wouldn't be supporting the presumptive Democratic nominee anyway, come fall.
None of this is to say that Barack Obama cannot carry West Virginia in the general. Even though Democratic presidential candidates haven't carried the overall white vote since what seems like Martin Van Buren's grandfather's time, Bill Clinton won W.Va. in both of his contests (of course he had the correct hue of skin) and the profound, post-Bush yearning for something different in 2009 could yet sway a majority to Obama's column. It does, however, call into question the wisdom of pouring Democratic resources into the state for all of five electoral votes.
For just one step away there are 21 in Pennsylvania and 20 in Ohio. And, as Democratic strategist Dave "Mudcat" Saunders pointed out yesterday to The Politico, "McCain’s going to camp on the Pennsylvania-Ohio border. He knows if he wins those states he can’t lose."
Saunders added that "What people don’t understand about Appalachia is that we’ve heard all this 'hope' and 'change' stuff since the English kicked the Scotch-Irish out in the 1700s. We’re 'hoped' out. Nothing ever changes out here" -- to which I might add that that's because so many of its impoverished residents have historically voted for racial bullshit over economic basics. It's been their call, not the pols'.
Nevertheless Saunders said there is indeed hope in the other direction -- for Obama, that is -- if he "come[s] with some solid policies." And, along these lines, Rep. Rick Boucher of Virginia projected the region "would ultimately gravitate to Obama’s message of economic development, telemedicine to expand health care, federal support for water infrastructure projects, and broadband development to provide expanded Internet service and attract high tech jobs."
We'll see. Because there are, and probably always will be, those electoral legions beyond hope from any which direction.
I give you, for instance, Clinton-supporter Mary Ann Kominar of Kermit, W.Va. -- wife of a Democratic state delegate, no less -- who done thunk all this out deeply and said: "A lot of people are saying 'McCain looks better every day.' I’m opposed to Obama because of his religious beliefs. I believe Rev. [Jeremiah] Wright told me a whole lot. The fact that [Obama] doesn’t pledge allegiance to the flag, he doesn’t wear a flag pin, concern me."
Yes, it concern me too, until I stop to think what a comedy representative democracy can be. Let's just be thankful we live not in a direct one.





Buzz this on Buzzflash.net
On the scene in West
up yours too Vetta
Time to Go.........
After tonights display of so-called "punditry" by Pat Buchanan on the Chris Matthews show; I've personally had it with the bias, imbalanced comments frothing from the pie-hole of this thinly-veiled bigot pretending to be offering a "neutral" assessment of Obama's campaign, in particular, and Dems best interests at large. All the while using the citizens of West Virginia as cover for his screed.
This guy has the impartiality of a right-handed ONE-ARMED MAN. He has utterly NO BUSINESS offering to us, on a supposedly "left-leaning" channel THAT which he has vehemently opposed for more than three decades. Its pathetic when even his co-anchors have to cower off-camera, and pass the baton back and forth between themselves rather then admonish this cretin for the vulgar boor that he is. When his dander is up--he can barely contain his racist attitudes utilizing some of the most illogical and disconnected references I've seen in a long time-----and NONE OF THEM want to call him out on it!
His history in this regard goes all the way back to a favored 'mentor' of his: one Samuel Francis. See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Samuel_Francis and:
http://www.splcenter.org/intel/intelreport/article.jsp?aid=718
Where it's noted that this Francis character is....
"Far more than Buchanan's friend and editor, Francis was his mentor. Buchanan knows Francis' racist oeuvre inside and out, citing some seven Francis pieces. Buchanan's basic argument in State of Emergency -- that America should be a white country and that dark-skinned immigrants threaten it -- was made by Francis for years."
His continued and allowed presence on MSNBC is, to me, the moral equivalancy of, say, Louis Farrakhan expressing his views of "conservatism" every night on FOX news---you're right---IT'LL NEVER HAPPEN! So why do WE allow our decisions to be influenced by the drivel of this long-time, hypocritical racist with a history as "distinguished" by the references below?
http://www.opinion-columns.com/praguewriter/2006/08/pat_buchanan_ra.html
http://thinkprogress.org/2006/08/22/buchanan-white-dominance/
If anyone has the phone number and/or mail addresses to the MSNBC producers...I would appreciate them posting the information below. I'll take it after that. The time has come to say...Good-bye, Pat.
American cancer
up yours PM
up yours, hahaha, brilliant defense of your amazing state
sigh
Neph......
I agree.....add me to that list. Current events have dictated what the reality is. Now, its time to address what REALLY matters; and not the disruptive bickering over which candidate is the best choice for us----THAT has been decided; irrespective of the wet-dream fantasies the media still wants to perpetuate.
I have been far more guilty of this than you, however, given the last few days events---I have refrained from making any comments, because I feel its time to move on.
If the HRC backers want to continue the distractions of zero communicado---fine, I believe I can talk around it and dwell on the media's malfeasance and John McCAIN'T.
But, we'll see whether HRC's followers want to dwell on bitterness or unitedly move on to what really matters-----that is, making the Repugs a historical foot-note.
That's easy to agree to,
Barry.....
I think what you've offered here is probably the best argument against the Repug-Corporate media's unrelenting current, yet desperate, push to unify and create the 'so-called' dream ticket with Obama and HRC---it simply will not work.
I am glad to see the stirrings (I believe), of the progressive Democratic Movement TRULY recognizing our decisions made during the next six months will be the MOST profound in U.S. history since the Civil War.
We will sorely need someone who TRULY believes and demonstrates the principles of visionary Democracy, not expediency.
Careful PM!
Being realistic about demographics is soooo politically incorrect.
I mean really. The only viable target for American Angst are those with college degrees who dress well, eat sushi and inform themselves from a variety of sources.
If only they were as ignorant as everyone else, we'd all be in bliss.
(Why do you think my net persona is named Clemsy? No one with a name like that could possibly have a graduate degree!
Oooops.)
Stay away from most of that
I get it! Moon's plan is to
Really?
knuckledraggin' hillbillies (etc)
Thats the problem.....BC,
I have with the media---while pretending to find some snap-shot justification for an event to so-call "help us understand it"--they brutalize AND trivialize an entire segment of the populace while doing so---its all SO TIDY! While I want to commend you all for being in that 26% percentile for your "courage", I think the other 67% that went for Hillary, for the most part, will remain democratic in the fall.
Not all of THEM voted for Hillary--simply because Obama is Black, anymore then 92% of Black votes go for Obama because hes Black. I think she campaigned with a message they responded too, whether disingenuous or not; and he did not reach out to them, whether wise, or not;---so you get what you got.
But, as a so-called "minority" myself----I can totally relate to how you all feel in W.V.---with the media portraying you as something too dumb to swallow food.
Believe me.....I understand; now, ain't THAT ironic in this "divided" America?
Keep it up!
Ugly comments from the Carpenter again
I wholeheartedly support Obama and hope he takes the general election away from that crazy person John McCain.
However, I do not support the kind of unpleasant, superior rhetoric that is revealed in this post. Buzzflash is one of my primary (no pun intended) sources of news, and it shames me every time I come across an editorial post like this one. Who are you to dismiss a population with such unabashed scorn? Because their political opinions and their ways of arriving at those opinions are not what you would like? So there are a lot of racist people in West Virginia -- does that excuse the way that you insult them? What if you took them and their concerns seriously? Maybe then you wouldn't find their future votes so incredibly unpredictable.
Barack Obama is running on a campaign based on unity, compassion, and understanding. Your post here shows the opposite of all these things. Shape up or lose readers.
--ELI
Uhhhh
Bed Bugs
Don't fool yourself--the
Probably correct...
That makes you......
Braver than MANY whites, Will B!
Because the anomaly I have the most trouble with....is the one that drives a person, ruled by the despicable vices of hate, fear, and racism, and against their own personal interests, will cultivate and support a situation that has, or could, potentially kill their own children----FOR A LIE!
Rather than NOT confronting those inner demons and fears, and promote an individual who could possibly CORRECT that situation, simply because his being BLACK makes its easier for them to simply NOT EVEN TRY to overcome those fears and racism......
By this definition alone, they're practicing self-extermination!
to me, THATS......mind-boggling.....and testimony to the power of hate!
New Job Offer for Hillary
"... what a comedy representative democracy can be."
More akin to a tragedy ......... unless schadenfreude floats your boat?
It appears that American democracy has run its course, and is now incapable of providing us with a government that will address its dire problems before it is too late.
So it goes ...
Curmudgeonry is a blight and
Let's not beat around the bush about West Virginians
These crackers will never vote for a N*****, period.
Now isn't that something the Hillary Clinton campaign can be proud of?
Someone finally said the magic word
Appalachia
P G Bowden
A Typical Response
Well Bowden
Talk about interjecting oneself into a response
Bowden
Sheeez, DeVane
Deep division in the Party - Stop It Now!
re West Virginia and GOP race-baiting...
Ron Brown had "only" united BOTH the "Hollywood/celbrity/liberal/NYC big donor" wing of the party with the down-in-trenches inner-city, blue-collar, workin' stiff, union-workers" wings of the party... and he handed the Clinton Arkansas bunch a well oiled, well-funded NATIONAL operation that the Arkansas bunch rode straight into the White House. Now James Carville and George Stephanopolous are part of the very "Washington corrupt insiders" bunch that they railed about back in 1992! (I wish that someone with more time and access than me would comb through those 1992 videos of the Clinton campaign, and catch those clips of Bill, James, and George bashing the Washington entitled kleptocracy.)
Another Irony is that today Ms. Clinton claims as her core supporters, her staunches demographic.... the very "NASCAR voters", stay-at-home moms, and Country folk that she DISSED all through the late 1990s!
Remember her "I'm not just going to be a stay-at-home mom, baking cookies" and her "I'm not going to just 'stand by my man,' I'm not going to be a Tammy Wynette" comments insulting suburban moms, and country folks alike!
Now she is appealing to precisely that demographic - older moms and white country folks - as her base of support.
OF COURSE when then First Lady of Arkansas Hillary Clinton was collecting her WAL-MART Directors pay, that company was just getting going on its... two decade tear of, not only union busting, BUT KEEPING WOMEN OUT OF MANAGEMENT.
Hillary Clinton, collecting her Director's pay, while doing __?__ to prevent Wal-Mart from EXCLUDING women from management (and slashing at health care)!!
It is barely believable that West Virginia moms would vote for this record, but then again thousands of military men voted for then Texas Gov. Bush, who only went "AWOL" from the Texas ANG during the Vietnam war. IMAGE TRUMPS REALITY in American politics.
mrsinclair The West
keep your heads in the sand
Any Working Class Whites in....
Response to Mr Sinclair
Attack of the West Virginian DLC Elitists for Hillary!
Maybe Clinton would have done a bit better than Obama in WV in the General Election by pandering to the not-so-buried racism there - but even she can't beat McCain's LONG lead in that area! The Dems can not win Appalachia this November by another round of Rethug-Lite, DLC-approved "Me, too!" pandering - for one thing, no matter how low a DCL'er like Clinton or Lieberman sinks, they always find a Repig who's won by sinking lower. (It's no surprise to me, at least, that Holy Joe the Quisling is campaigning w/McCain - like any good DLC'er, Lieberman thanked the Clintons and the rest of the Democratic Party for knifing Lamont in the back by knifing them in the back in return.) The only way to win is to alter the conditions of the test by galvanizing the real Bitter-Americans of color and of progressivism, who see no substantial difference between a Clinton and a Bush, into voting.
Disappointed
Let's think beyond race and region
Scenery?
Are you seriously suggesting that we should respect these people because of the beautiful scenery in their state? How about because they're human beings?
No, no, if they don't have beautiful blue mountains and picturesque streams, then it is okay to call them the toothless hayseed vote.
--ELI
Miscontrued reading
I see your point, but...
I'm confused..
Excellent post
Another thought